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November 4, 2002 Support Strongest for Proposition 202PHOENIX - A just-released study of 405 Arizona adults by WestGroup Research of Phoenix showed that Arizona residents are most likely to support Indian Gaming Proposition 202. The survey took place between October 5 and October 25 as part of WestGroup's ongoing monitor of current events. The overall study has a margin of error of + 5% at a 95% confidence level. The sample size was 198 for those only given the titles of the propositions and 207 for those also provided a brief description (margin of error is +7.1% and +6.9%, respectively).
When asked how they would vote "today," Arizonans were most likely to indicate support for Proposition 202 (42% support when only the title was given and 51% support when a brief description was also provided). Support for Proposition 201 was at approximately half that level (21% title only and 26% brief description). Support for Proposition 200 was weaker than Proposition 201 when only the title was given (15%), but slightly stronger when a description was provided (28%).
When Arizona residents were given descriptions of the Indian Gaming Propositions, they said they are more likely to vote "yes" and less likely to say they "don't know" how they will vote. Descriptions have very little effect on the "no" vote. This may either mean that those who are against the propositions are relatively informed about their content and therefore do not change their mind when given additional information, or they have decided to just vote "no" regardless of content.
Questions: I would now like to ask you how you might vote on the propositions relating to Indian gaming and gaming at racetracks that will be on the ballot in November:
All three will serve to continue Indian gaming rather than let it expire in 2003, when the current compact ends. All three will also result in an increased number of slot machines at casinos on Indian Reservations. All three also mandate some type of revenue sharing with rural tribes that do not operate casinos. Proposition 200, sponsored by the Colorado River Indian Tribes, would continue to permit gaming only on Indian Reservations and increase the types of gaming permitted, and share 3% of net revenues with the State. 1. If the vote were held today, would you vote for or against Proposition 200? a. For Proposition 201, sponsored by the racetrack industry, would allow race tracks to operate slot machines with 40% of gross revenue going to the state, 8% of gross revenue from gaming on reservations will go to the state. 2. If the vote were held today, would you vote for or against Proposition 201? a. For Proposition 202, which is sponsored by a majority of the Indian tribes in Arizona, would continue to permit gaming only on Indian Reservations, increase the types of gaming permitted, and would share between 1% and 8% of net revenues with the state, depending on the actual amount of the revenue. 3. If the vote were held today, would you vote for or against Proposition 202? a. For Research ResultsBackground Information About WestGroup WestGroup Research is comprised of a highly talented and diversified team of researchers including 10 Project Directors, most of whom also serve as senior analysts and focus group moderators. The company president, Ted Apostol, joined WestGroup in 1974 and became president in 1986. Under his leadership, the company has grown to 10 times its original size. WestGroup is a highly respected company with on-going research relationships with SRP, Valley Metro, the Arizona Lottery among many other businesses and government organizations. As an Arizona-based company, WestGroup Research focuses on serving the research needs of organizations in Arizona and the Southwest, as well as many national clients. For more information call 602-707-0050 or log on: www.WestGroupResearch.com.
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